Forecasting Future Sales

Sales forecasting is one of the tombstones in the salesperson’s graveyard.

Selling isn’t a complete science. Salespeople are terminal optimists. Therefore forecasting isn’t easy. But most sales organisations we work with could be much, much better at forecasting.

So what usually goes wrong? Actually, quite a lot…..but, in short, consistent, objective questions aren’t asked which flag up the real likelihood of success (and thus the basis of qualify-in / out decisions) and too often the salesperson (you know, that terminal optimist) is left to ask them of him / herself – i.e. no-one is being the ‘devil’s advocate’. An excerpt from the ensuing dialogue between salesperson and devil’s advocate might sound something like this:

DA: “Have we made the distinction between ‘can the customer afford it?’ and do they have the budget?”

Salesperson: “Yes”

DA: “Where did you get this information from?”

DA: “Are we inside their budget?”

Salesperson: “Yes”

DA: “What is the budget?”

DA: “Do we have unique advantages which are central to the customer’s problems?”

Salesperson: “Come again…?”

DA: “This is central to our likelihood of success. It sounds as if we have some more selling to do. Where are we right now in the sales cycle..?”

DA: “Are we talking to all of the players in the decision-making process? And have they all allocated the time to assess our strengths?”

Salesperson: “Some of them have”

DA: “Who has? And where exactly do they sit in the decision-making process?”

DA: “Do we understand the needs and wants of all of the key players involved in this decision?”

Salesperson: “Yes, mostly…”

DA: “Please take me through, player by player, the needs and wants as you understand them.”

DA: “Who are we competing with?”

Salesperson: “Company X “

DA: “What is their track record with the customer like?”

Salesperson: “Not as good as ours”

DA: “OK – but says who?. What are their competitive strengths as seen by the customer?”

Salesperson: “I’m not sure.”

DA: “Well we need to find out don’t we…?”

DA: “Who are they talking to that we are not?”

Salesperson: “I’m not sure about this either”

DA: “You know what’s coming now don’t you…?”

Call Salespunch™ to explore where and how your sales forecasting can be strengthened and how that ultimately effects your business decision-making.

Contact Salespunch™ - Now!

Key Tools & Methodologies

 

MODERN™ Win / Win Analysis

A weighted mechanism constructed specifically for your business environment, which provides an accurate fix on how likely it is that your salesperson will win a specific piece of business. 

Often used as a pro-active management tool for the 'terminal optimists' in your sales operation to accurately assess the real measures of the likelihood of winning any one piece of business.

Contact your Salespunch™ coach to see how this can be applied to your business


YERFEJ Box

When it comes to assessing pipeline probability, there is much confusion between the likelihood of a piece of business converting and the stage in the sales process.  Completing a first visit is not an indicator of 20% likelihood (for example) any more than a visit later in the sales process necessarily equates to 80% likelihood.  The 'YERFEJ Box' creates a matrix of these two factors and gives practical guidelines on appropriate actions in each quadrant.

Click here for your free tool

 


 

Relevant Salespunch™ Articles

 

How to get prospects to say 'no'

Question: What's the biggest cost of any selling operation?

Answer: The business you don't win!

From this truism we quite rightly conclude that we should do everything possible to optimise conversion ratios. Equally true is the fact that wasted time on 'no hope' opportunities that have no realistic chance of converting is very expensive both in terms of direct costs, and opportunity costs. We really should be getting on with other things rather than loitering in our quote bank.

The logical conclusion from this is that we should work just as hard to get prospects to say 'no' as we do to get them to say 'yes'. So why do salespeople find this so difficult? Why do prospects find it equally tricky and what can we do about it?

Click here for more

 

To arrange an exploratory conversation with your coach, please contact Salespunch™ - Now! 01883 621088